The SNP are very close to gaining a majority of seats in the Scottish Parliament, with Reform UK and the Greens in a tight race for second place

Turnout adjusted, squeeze question used, Greens voters reprompted if no Green candidate in their constituency. Find Out Now interviewed a sample of 2,001 Scottish adults on 1st to 6th May which is nationally representative by: Gender, Age, Scottish region and 2024 General Election

Our methodology:

• We ask respondents how likely they are to vote in the Scottish Parliament election on 7th May. For those who give a 7 or above, we then ask their vote choice
• If a respondent answers ‘Don’t know’ they see an additional question, prompting them again to give an answer. If they then give a valid vote choice they are included in the final calculation, but if they answer ‘Don’t know’ again (or ‘Would not vote’) they are excluded from the final headline calculation
• For those who selected Green for their constituency vote, but don’t have a Green candidate in their constituency, we used their answers from a follow-up question: Although the Scottish Greens are standing in all 8 regional lists, they are only standing candidates in 6 of Scotland’s 73 constituencies. If they were not standing in your constituency, how would you use your constituency vote?
• The final sample is filtered and weighted to be nationally representative by Gender, Age, Region, Ethnicity and 2024 General Election vote

Full data tables can be found here

This poll was initiated solely by Find Out Now and not funded by any third party

Find Out Now is an MRS company partner, a member of the British Polling Council and abides by their rules. To find out more about our research offer, please visit our services page or contact ask@findoutnow.co.uk