Our new mayoral voting intention polling suggest Reform wins in Greater Lincolnshire and Hull and East Yorkshire, a Conservative win in Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, and a toss-up between Greens and Reform in West of England

Turnout adjusted, ‘Don’t know’ respondents squeezed. Find Out Now interviewed a sample of respondents weighted to be representative for each area (by age, gender, Local Authority and 2024 GE vote) on 29th and 30th April

Our methodology:

• We ask respondents how likely they would vote in the upcoming mayoral election. To those who said ‘definitely’ or ‘very likely’ we then ask their vote choice
• If a respondent was eligible but didn’t vote at the last general election, they are only included in the final headline calculation if they say they are ‘definitely’ going to vote this time. This is because past voting behaviour is generally more predictive than their declared intentions
• The final sample is weighted to be representative of the specific area by Gender, Age, Local Authority, and 2024 General Election vote
• A deeper discussion of our methodology in the context of the 2024 General Election can be found here

Full data tables can be found below:

• Greater Lincolnshire
• Hull and East Yorkshire
• Cambridgeshire and Peterborough
• West of England

This poll was initiated solely by Find Out Now and not funded by any third party