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Conservatives still 23% behind Labour, despite Brexit deal

Chris Holbrook Find Out Now Market Research

Chris Holbrook

6th Mar, 2023 | 3 mins read

Our latest Westminster voting intention poll with election experts Electoral Calculus for The Sunday Telegraph finds that a bounce in popularity after Rishi Sunak’s Brexit deal has failed to materialise, although they have gained 2% of the predicted vote share. The poll, involving over 1,400 respondents, was carried out from 1st – 3rd of March.

The poll asked GB residents whether and how they intend to vote if there were an imminent general election.

  • Labour lead of 23% over Conservatives
  • Predicted Labour landslide

The headline voting intention is shown in the highlighted bolded column:

PartyVote share at GE 2019Previous poll Feb 2023Current Estimated Vote Share (%)Estimated Change (%)

This gives an estimated Labour lead over the Conservatives of 23%. If there were a general election now, and these figures were right, Labour would win 499 seats in the Commons, and the Conservatives would be reduced to just 69 seats.

About the survey

Find Out Now polled 1,487 GB adults who had a clear voting intention online between 1 – 3 March 2023. The sample was weighted to be representative by gender, age, social grade, other demographics and past voting patterns.

Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its rules

Full analysis on Electoral Calculus

Full tables can be downloaded here