Our Independence Referendum poll for The National newspaper, with election experts Electoral Calculus, shows an increasing appetite for Independence in Scotland. When adjusted for turnout, a majority of 52% are in favour. We asked a representative sample of 1,094 Scottish voters:

If there were a legally binding referendum tomorrow with the question “Should Scotland be an independent country?”, how would you vote?

And:

If there were a legally binding referendum on Scottish independence tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote? Please answer on a scale from 0 to 10, where 0 is definitely won’t vote and 10 is definitely will vote.

Adjusting for turnout, the results were:

Answer	%
Yes	52
No	44
I don’t know	3

In their article, The National chose to disregard the “I don’t know” responses and increase the Yes/No figures to:

Answer	%
Yes	54
No	46

Full tables can be downloaded here

About the survey

Find Out Now interviewed 2,912 Scottish adults online from the 11th to 18th of January 2023. The sample was adjusted to a nationally representative sample of 1,094 within 1% +/- ONS quotas for gender, age, Scottish region, SEG, and past voting.

Find Out Now are members of the British Polling Council and the Market Research Society and abide by their rules.