Pollsters Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now have conducted a new large-scale MRP poll for the Daily Mirror. We asked more than 18,000 GB adults how they would vote in a hypothetical General Election, while Electoral Calculus conducted Multi-level Regression and Poststratification (MRP), which is a relatively recent innovation in polling science which have been used to successfully predict the last two British general elections, to give an estimated result in each (new) Westminster constituency.

Full results, analysis and discussion can be found here on the Electoral Calculus website.

The headline results have been summarised in this table:

Party	GE 2019		Predicted Election Result
	Votes	Seats	Votes	Seats
CON	45%	376	22%	80
LAB	33%	197	42%	452
LIB	12%	8	11%	53
Reform	2%	0	10%	0
Green	3%	1	7%	2
SNP	4%	48	4%	40
Plaid	0.5%	2	1%	4
OTH	1%	0	2%	1

Fieldwork was conducted from 24 January to 12 February 2024