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SNP would win 52% in Scotland if next UK election a de facto independence vote

Chris Holbrook Find Out Now Market Research

Chris Holbrook

26th Jan, 2023 | 2 mins read

Our voting intention poll for The National newspaper, with election experts Electoral Calculus, shows that the SNP would win 52% of the vote in Scotland were the next UK election to be treated as a de facto independence referendum, with SNP standing on independence as a single issue.

Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a “de facto” referendum on independence. Which party will you vote for? (Adjusted for turnout)

Party% of vote
Lib Dems7%
Reform UK3%

The figures before turnout adjustment and the turnout question figures are available to download here

About the survey

Find Out Now interviewed 2,912 Scottish adults online from the 11th to 18th of January 2023. The sample was adjusted to a nationally representative sample of 1,094 within 1% +/- ONS quotas for gender, age, Scottish region, SEG, and past voting.

Find Out Now are members of the British Polling Council and the Market Research Society and abide by their rules.