Our poll with Electoral Calculus for The Constitution Society find that Labour would increase their potential majority if they were to say that Brexit was a mistake. Labour currently has a lead of 26%, which could be 28% if our poll is correct. This is particularly the case in Red Wall constituencies.

Key points

• Most people (59%) think Brexit has made Britain worse off
• Most people (55%) think that Brexit was a mistake
• On General Voting Intention, Labour has a lead of 26% over the Conservatives
• This lead could grow to 28% if Labour said Brexit was a mistake

Among Red Wall voters:

• Exactly half agree that Brexit has made Britain worse off
• 46% say Brexit was a mistake, but 30% disagree
• On General Voting Intention, Labour has a lead of 33% over the Conservatives
• This lead could shrink to 30% if Labour said Brexit was a mistake, but the Party would still win all 42 Red Wall seats.

Constitution Society

The Constitution Society is an independent educational foundation which works to promote public understanding of the UK constitution. We monitor constitutional developments and proposals for change, and assess them against core constitutional principles.

Technical Details

Find Out Now interviewed 1,862 GB adults across Great Britain and a further 1,457 GB adults living in “Red Wall” seats online from 10-14 March 2023. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by gender, age, social grade, other demographics and past voting patterns. The sub-samples of those respondents who had a clear voting intention (excluding don’t knows and refuseds) were also weighted to be representative. Full details are given in the tables (download Excel workbook).

Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus are both members of the British Polling Council and abide by its rules.

Photo by Sandro Cenni on Unsplash