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Conservative Andy Street ahead by 4% in West Mids Mayoral race

Chris Holbrook Find Out Now Market Research

Chris Holbrook

20th Apr, 2021 | 4 mins read

Find Out Now and election experts Electoral Calculus have run a poll on the upcoming election for West Midlands Mayor on 6 May.

The main contenders are incumbent Andy Street (Con) and former cabinet minister Liam Byrne (Lab).

The election allows voters to make both a first and a second choice for mayor. If their first choice doesn’t make it to the final two, but their second choice does, then that second-choice vote will count in the final totals.

For first-choice votes, the poll of West Midlands voters shows the following levels of support:

Candidate First choice Vote share Final Total Vote share
Andy Street (Con) 45% 52%
Liam Byrne (Lab) 38% 48%
Jenny Wilkinson (LD) 4%  
Steve Caudwell (Green) 8%  
Ashvir Sangha (Our West Midlands) 1%  
Some other candidate 4%  

The poll indicates that the Conservative and Labour candidates are the top two candidates which will go into the final round. Andy Street (Con) is ahead of Liam Byrne (Lab) by 7% in the first round, but this falls to 4% in the final round.

Politics in the West Midlands is an important part of the national picture, so we’re glad to be able to shine the spotlight on it with our polling.

Chris Holbrook, CEO of Find Out Now

It’s another tight race for West Midlands Mayor, with Andy Street just ahead again according to our poll. But his lead is less than the margin of error, so it’s not done and dusted yet.

Martin Baxter, CEO of Electoral Calculus

About the survey

Find Out Now polled 1,000 adults online in the West Midlands from 1 to 7 April 2021. The sample was chosen to be regionally representative by gender, age, social grade and past voting patterns. Percentages shown exclude those who preferred not to give an opinion, don’t knows, those who wouldn’t vote and were weighted by likelihood to vote.

Find Out Now is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

The full results tables can be downloaded here

Photo by Ethan Thompson on Unsplash